Earth Day Predictions Fall Flat

Blog Post - Earth Day Predictions Fall Flat

The first Earth Day was 46 years ago today. At the time scientists made several dire predictions which have turned out to be nothing but hot air.

1: “Civilization Will End Within 15 Or 30 Years”

Nobel prize winning biologist Dr. George Wald said we would cease to exist as a species in less than 30 years if we didn't solve our environmental problems. Now, I'm no scientist, but I think he got this one wrong.

2: “Population Will Inevitably And Completely Outstrip Whatever Small Increases In Food Supplies We Make and 100-200 Million People Per Year Will Be Starving To Death During The Next Ten Years”

Stanford professor Dr. Paul Ehrlich predicted that mass starvation would occur by 1980. In reality, globalization has significantly decreases poverty, and starvation for demographic causes has all but been eradicated.

3: “Demographers agree almost unanimously … thirty years from now, the entire world with the exception of Western Europe, North America, and Australia, will be in famine”

A global famine due to population growth was the consensus prediction of environmentalists back in 1970. Remember that next time someone tells you about a consensus prediction among scientists.

4: “In a decade, urban dwellers will have to wear gas masks to survive air pollution”

Despite the prediction, air quality has been improving worldwide, according to the World Health Organization.

5: “Childbearing [will be] a punishable crime against society, unless the parents hold a government license”

David Brower, the first director of The Sierra Club made the above claim, and said that all people of childbearing age should be given contraceptive chemicals, with government issuing antidotes only a select few who were given permission to procreate. It seems the solutions being advocated were even worse than the problem being solved. Sound familiar?

6: “By The Year 2000 … There Won’t Be Any More Crude Oil”

Ecologist Kenneth Watt predicted peak oil in 1970 and a subsequent gradual decline. In reality, production is at an all-time high, and there is currently too much oil on the market, causing economic havoc in oil-producing economies.

None of these false predictions mean that current predictions are also false, but they certainly contribute to a rising sentiment among the public that dire forecasts and the "solutions" being advocated are exaggerated.

Source: The Daily Caller



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